Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.039286 0.042882 0.046664 0.050942 0.055650 0.060676 0.066453
2026-02-01 0.031390 0.036331 0.041866 0.048540 0.056385 0.065337 0.076354
2026-02-08 0.026172 0.031802 0.038449 0.046906 0.057422 0.070126 0.086718
2026-02-15 0.022407 0.028366 0.035720 0.045515 0.058298 0.074522 0.096839
2026-02-22 0.020202 0.026508 0.034599 0.045823 0.061116 0.081403 0.110652
2026-03-01 0.017793 0.024074 0.032408 0.044381 0.061315 0.084667 0.119759
2026-03-08 0.015431 0.021440 0.029648 0.041805 0.059573 0.084927 0.124450
2026-03-15 0.013946 0.019862 0.028166 0.040824 0.059905 0.088032 0.133443
2026-03-22 0.013151 0.019183 0.027873 0.041494 0.062657 0.094858 0.148672
2026-03-29 0.012457 0.018578 0.027615 0.042156 0.065397 0.101841 0.164781
2026-04-05 0.011571 0.017605 0.026712 0.041716 0.066326 0.105988 0.176582
2026-04-12 0.010796 0.016738 0.025893 0.041318 0.067246 0.110141 0.188726
2026-04-19 0.009974 0.015752 0.024839 0.040492 0.067451 0.113228 0.199553
2026-04-26 0.009112 0.014641 0.023505 0.039094 0.066566 0.114379 0.207058
2026-05-03 0.008398 0.013720 0.022414 0.038014 0.066129 0.116257 0.216088
2026-05-10 0.007766 0.012891 0.021412 0.037002 0.065708 0.118096 0.225194
2026-05-17 0.007421 0.012523 0.021163 0.037292 0.067665 0.124462 0.243818
2026-05-24 0.006871 0.011761 0.020174 0.036158 0.066852 0.125487 0.251723
2026-05-31 0.006224 0.010787 0.018747 0.034104 0.064105 0.122505 0.250956
2026-06-07 0.005823 0.010227 0.018026 0.033321 0.063760 0.124228 0.260354
2026-06-14 0.005643 0.010057 0.017999 0.033860 0.066073 0.131515 0.282667
2026-06-21 0.005474 0.009893 0.017972 0.034391 0.068407 0.139043 0.306367
2026-06-28 0.005200 0.009516 0.017519 0.034039 0.068878 0.142658 0.321454